ϲ

XClose

ϲ Hazard Centre

Home
Menu

Robert Robertson

“Using monitoring data to improve forecasts of eruptions at Rabaul caldera.”

PhD project title:

Can caldera uplift be used to forecast eruptions at Rabaul caldera, Papua New Guinea?


Robert Robertson
Project description:

Papua New Guinea has some of the most active volcanoes in theSouth West Pacific. This study focusses on Rabaul, a large caldera on the tip of the Gazaelle peninsula in north east New Britain of Papua New Guinea. Within historical times, the volcano has produced simultaneous eruptions, approximately every 50 years (1878, 1937-43, and 1994), from two intra-caldera cones:Vulcan in the south west,and Tavurvur in the north east.

This study takes into account the general volcanism, geologyand chemistry of eruptive products from Rabaul, and,using available field data, focuses onthe relationship between seismic events and uplift during caldera unrest from 1972 until the most recenteruptions in1994. This is combined with accessible tomographic data to help identify the deep-to-shallow magmatic feeding system, and to identifypossible structures favourably leading to caldera-wide uplift and eruption. Scientific modellingof sill and dyke emplacement will also be undertaken to further investigatethe nature of the magmatic feeding system and how magma preferentially escapes to the surface. Together, these findings, along withpre-and post-eruption data, will be important for forming new hypotheses regarding furture volcanic events.


Resources:

Email:r.robertson@ucl.ac.uk
Supervisors: Prof. Christopher Kilburn

Related PhD publications:

Deformation regime and long-term precursors to eruption at large calderas: Rabaul, Papua New Guinea. Earth Planet Sci Lett, 438, doi 10.1016j.epsl.2016.01.003.