Global Events Forecast - April 2019
1 April 2019
Every month, the GGI compiles a list of upcoming international events that have some implications for its work. Here is a compilation of global meetings and events coming up in April 2019.
1 April听 | Second round of indicative Brexit votes听 A second round of indicative votes on alternatives to Theresa May鈥檚 Brexit deal will be held in the British parliament on 1 April. In a first round of votes on 27 March, none of the eight proposed options secured a majority. Many of the proposals, which range听from a second referendum to softer versions of Brexit, will now .听 |
3 April听 | Roll out of Sharia law punishments in Brunei听 Brunei will roll out new Sharia law punishments from 3 April, which include death by stoning for adultery and gay sex. The country is facing mounting international pressure to halt the law, which UN Human Rights Commissioner Michelle Bachelet has described as a ""听in Brunei.听 |
4 April | 70th anniversary of NATO听 NATO foreign ministers will gather in Washington, DC on 4 April to mark the 70th anniversary of the military alliance. Two days earlier, on 2 April, NATO Secretary-General Jens Stoltenberg at the White House to discuss burden sharing and the evolving challenges facing the alliance. |
6 April听 | Parliamentary elections in the Maldives Parliamentary elections will be held in the Maldives on 6 April. There have been growing concerns over the state of democracy and human rights in the Maldives as well as . However, last year鈥檚 presidential elections were considered as mostly free and fair, for the return of political stability and an improvement of听the human rights situation.听 |
9 April | EU-China Summit The 21st bilateral summit between the EU and China will take place on 9 April in Brussels. The meeting, which will be attended by Chinese Premier Li Keqiang, European Commission President Jean-Claude Juncker and European Council President Donald Tusk, comes after a recently published defines China not just as a strategic cooperation and negotiation partner but also as an economic competitor and 鈥渟ystemic rival promoting alternative models of governance鈥. |
9 April | Parliamentary elections in Israel听 Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu will face a tough race for re-election on 9 April. His top challenger, retired Israeli general Benjamin "Benny" Gantz, is believed to be a real threat to Netanyahu鈥檚 re-election. Netanyahu, who faces indictment on bribery charges, looks more vulnerable than ever, but he can draw on a large and devoted base of supporters. The lead up to the election has seen a flareup of violence in Gaza as Israeli forces and Hamas .听听 |
10 April听听 | Emergency EU summit on Brexit 听 After Theresa May鈥檚 withdrawal agreement has been rejected by the British parliament for the third time, the European Council has called on 10 April. The meeting could be used to debate a long extension for Brexit, if the UK requests this and provides a clear justification. If there is no approved deal and no agreement on a lengthy extension by this date, the UK is due to crash out of the EU without a deal on 12 April (see below). |
10 April听听 | Belizean referendum on territorial dispute with Guatemala听 Belize will hold a referendum on 10 April to determine whether or not to seek a final settlement at the International Court of Justice (ICJ) over a long-standing territorial dispute with neighbouring Guatemala. In April last year, Guatemala on the issue, with an overwhelming majority in favour of taking the dispute to the ICJ. The disputed territory comprises about half of Belize.听 |
10 April | UN General Assembly High-Level Event on the Future of Work听听 On the occasion of the 100th anniversary of the International Labour Organization (ILO), the UN General Assembly will convene a high-level event on 鈥樷 on 10 April. The aim is to discuss challenges and opportunities, including new technological advances, and effective policy responses to shape the future of work and achieve decent work for all.听 |
11 April听 | Indian general elections kick off Elections in India will be held in seven phases from 11 April to 19 May. With 900 million eligible voters, it is the biggest election in the world. The economy will be a key electoral issue as incumbent Prime Minister Narendra Modi and his Hindu nationalist Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) face what looks like an . Modi will be battling the main national opposition Congress party and its leader Rahul Gandhi as well as a host of regional parties. Modi came to power after a landslide victory in 2014, following a populist campaign that promised economic growth and 鈥榙evelopment for all鈥 but his political rivals argue that these promised have fallen flat. |
11 April听听 | Trump and Moon to discuss North Korea 听 听 South Korean President Moon Jae-in in Washington, DC on 11 April to discuss ways forward in the denuclearisation talks with North Korea. Negotiations with North Korea have reached a stalemate after Trump met North Korean leader Kim Jong Un for a summit in Hanoi in February. Trump might later in April to discuss the North Korean issue as well as bilateral trade relations. |
12 April听 | The UK could leave the EU without a deal After Theresa May failed again to get parliamentary approval for her withdrawal agreement, a no-deal Brexit on 12 April has become a more likely possibility. The European Council had set the date as the new deadline for the UK to resolve the Brexit impasse in order to leave the EU with a deal on 22 May. This may still be possible if a compromise on a deal is reached, for example by including a customs union. Another possibility is a lengthy delay of Brexit, which would require the UK to participate in the European elections next month.听 |
14 April听 | Finnish parliamentary elections听 Finland is due to hold parliamentary elections on 14 April. The country is currently run by a caretaker government because its governing coalition, led by Prime Minister Juha Sipila鈥檚 Centre Party and the centre-right National Coalition, collapsed last month after failing to push through a crucial healthcare reform. The latest polls are led by the leftist Social Democratic Party, followed by the National Coalition. Meanwhile, Sipila鈥檚 Centre Party has been overtaken in the polls y, which has made rapid gains in recent months amid rising anti-immigration sentiment.听 |
14-16 April | UN Libya national reconciliation conference听听 The UN听 in the Libyan town of Ghadames from 14 to 16 April to discuss the prospects of ending the country鈥檚 eight-year-long civil conflict. It is hoped that the conference will deliver a timeframe for elections and a new constitution. UN special envoy Ghassan Salam茅 has said that all of Libya鈥檚 political groups have been invited to the conference, however, it is unclear whether all factions will attend. Libya has been beset by chaos since the overthrow of Muammar Gaddafi in October 2011. |
17 April听 | General elections in Indonesia听 Indonesians will go to the polls on 17 April to elect their next president, national legislature, as well as a number of provincial and local governments. Surveys indicate that incumbent President Joko Widodo is over his challenger, retired General Prabowo Subianto. The elections take place by some observers that democracy and rule of law are backsliding in Southeast Asia鈥檚 biggest economy.听 |
24 April | UN High-level Event on the International Day of Multilateralism 听 The UN General Assembly decided in December 2018 to declare 24 April as the International Day of Multilateralism and Diplomacy for Peace. This 24 April, the General Assembly with hold a High-Level Event on the topic 鈥渆xchange views on the role of multilateralism and diplomacy in reinforcing the advancement of the three pillars of the UN, namely, sustainable development, peace and security and human rights鈥. |
28 April听 | General elections in Spain听 Spain is holding snap elections on 28 April. Elections were called in February after Prime Minister Pedro S谩nchez鈥檚 budget was . According to a , S谩nchez鈥檚 Socialist Party (PSOE) is likely to win but without securing an absolute majority. The political scene in Spain looks increasingly fragmented, with the issue of Catalan independence as divisive as ever and a presenting itself as a key protagonist in the upcoming elections. S谩nchez has been leading a minority government since June, when he ousted former Prime Minister Mariano Rajoy in a no-confidence vote. |
28 April听 | Beninese parliamentary election In the wake of upcoming parliamentary elections in Benin, scheduled to be held on 28 April, thousands of people have protested the from the election. Following controversial changes to the electoral rule, only two parties have been allowed to participate, both of which back incumbent President Patrice Talon.听 |
Late April [TBD]听 | Second Belt and Road Forum for International Cooperation In late April, China will host the second Belt and Road Forum, which will be attended by top delegates and heads of state from over 100 countries, including Russia鈥檚 Vladimir Putin. China鈥檚 Belt and Road Initiative is an ambitious and controversial campaign to boost trade, cooperation and economic growth across Asia and beyond. Last month, Italy became the . |
Late April [TBD]听 | Potential Xi-Trump summit 听 US President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping to sign an agreement to end the long-running trade dispute between their two countries. The summit had initially been expected to take place in March but has been pushed back due to unresolved concerns on both sides. |