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香港六合彩中特网 (YouGov fieldwork) survey on voters' preferences on Brexit

15 April 2019

Christina Pagel, Christabel Cooper and Uta Staiger have produced several outputs analysing the findings of a 香港六合彩中特网 survey, with fieldwork by YouGov, of 5,000 representative UK voters ranking the four possible eventual outcomes of Brexit and profiling voters' policy priorities.

ucl survey

Evan Davis 鈥 BBC presenter of News Night and former economics editor 鈥淭his is the best attempt I've seen to understand public opinion on the Brexit options. Fascinating.鈥:听

George Peretz QC 鈥淭his is rather important. Especially to those Remain-inclined MPs wondering whether to prioritise a 鈥淪oft Brexit鈥 or another referendum. (It won鈥檛 decide for you: but it will clarify the dilemma.)鈥

Anand Menon (director of UKICE) 鈥淭his by @chrischirp 听is really fascinating鈥

A first analysis has been published by the HuffPost.听The data shows that with No-Deal now leavers鈥 preferred Brexit outcome, ruling it out could create problems for the Tories.听Leave voters are also relatively untroubled by the economic impact of no-deal 鈥 in fact more are now worried about the negative impact of leaving with May鈥檚 existing deal.

"With No-Deal Now Leavers' Preferred Brexit Outcome, Ruling It Out Could Create Problems For The Tories" 08/04/2019.


In a post for the 香港六合彩中特网 Brexit Blog, Christina Pagel and Christabel Cooper also shows that as the preferred Brexit outcomes of Labour and Conservative voters harden, both parties stand to suffer in any imminent General Election.

"A General Election is looking more likely 鈥 what are the implications for the two main parties?"听12/04/2019


A further analysis of the survey and its learnings for a potential new general election has also been published by politics.co.uk, revealing the full extent of Britain's deep divisions.听

"Polling analysis: The full extent of Britain's division brutally revealed" 15/04/2019


The numbers have also been used by Labour MP Owen Smith in his latest opinion piece for The Guardian, calling on the Labour party to embrace its remain-leaning majority.听

"The numbers don鈥檛 lie: Labour must back a people鈥檚 vote to win the next election"听15/04/2019


The latest analysis by Christina Pagel for politics.co.uk shows that different ways of counting can give different results because they take different views of fairness, each of which has good arguments for it. In most situations, the methods give you the same winner but they don't for Brexit because the deep divisions in society.听

23/04/2019


The survey results were used by Oliver Wright, Policy Editor at The Times, to argue that the British public is just as badly split as MPs over the 鈥渂est鈥 kind of Brexit, or whether it should happen at all. Christina Pagel commented in the article.听

"It's not only MPs split on best Brexit" 27/04/2019


Christabel听Cooper and Christina Pagel write a piece for the New Statesman, on the views of Leave voters.听

08/05/2019


About the authors:

Uta Staiger听is the executive Director of the European Institute at 香港六合彩中特网.

听is a Professor of operational research at 香港六合彩中特网.

is a data analyst.

The survey was generously funded by听香港六合彩中特网 Maths,听香港六合彩中特网 CORUand听香港六合彩中特网鈥檚 Grand Challenge of Cultural Understanding.